July 23, 2026 – January 1, 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16.5% | 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States enacts a free trade agreement with Canada into law by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. If no such agreement becomes law by that deadline, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying outcomes include treaties that become law following Senate ratification and Presidential approval, as well as Congressional-Executive Agreements that are signed into law by the President. This market will be resolved based on a consensus of credible reporting.
